Brookdale Senior 4Q25 Sneak Peek: Occupancy Volume Rises to 82.5%

Core Insights - Brookdale Senior Living Inc. (BKD) reported a weighted average occupancy of 82.4% for December 2025, reflecting a 310 basis points increase year-over-year but a slight decline of 10 basis points from November 2025 [1] Group 1: Occupancy and Capacity - In Q4 2025, BKD's weighted average occupancy reached 82.5%, up from 79.4% a year ago and 81.8% in Q3 2025, indicating consistent growth throughout 2025 [2] - The company has the capacity to serve approximately 51,000 residents across 41 states [2] - BKD has improved its occupancy significantly from a pandemic low of 69.4% in March 2021, aiming to enhance operational efficiency and profitability [5] Group 2: Financial Performance - Resident fee revenues increased by 4.5% year-over-year in the first nine months of 2025, with expectations for continued growth [3] - For 2025, BKD forecasts a 5.25-6% increase in average monthly senior housing resident fee revenue per available unit (RevPAR) and adjusted EBITDA in the range of $455 million to $460 million [3][10] Group 3: Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for BKD's Q4 2025 earnings is a loss of 16 cents per share, reflecting a 5.8% year-over-year improvement, although the company has struggled to meet earnings estimates consistently [4] - BKD has met earnings estimates only once in the past four quarters, with an average surprise of 37.1% [4]