Core Insights - The global economic landscape is shifting due to geopolitical tensions and trade frictions, with a projected global growth slowdown to 2.7% in 2026 [1] - Policymakers are forming coalitions to secure technology supply chains, focusing on semiconductors and AI infrastructure [2] - The investment thesis for 2026 emphasizes advanced technology sectors intersecting with national security, particularly AI, quantum technologies, and defense [3] Industry Trends - Global trade is being reshaped into technology blocs due to tariffs and export controls, particularly affecting advanced semiconductors and AI [5] - The Pax Silica initiative aims to enhance cooperation in the semiconductor and AI value chain among allied nations, highlighting the role of energy-rich countries in financing technology infrastructure [6] Investment Opportunities - AI, quantum technologies, and defense are identified as key equity themes for 2026, driven by government mandates and strategic competition [7] - Key stocks include NVIDIA, Lockheed Martin, and IBM, which are positioned to benefit from these trends [3] Company Highlights - NVIDIA: Reported record Data Center revenues of $51.2 billion in Q3 FY2026, driven by demand for AI infrastructure platforms. Projected earnings growth of 55.2% in FY2027 [9][10] - Lockheed Martin: Secured a $9.8 billion contract for PAC-3 MSE missiles, reflecting strong demand for defense systems. Projected earnings growth of 33.9% in 2026 [11][12] - IBM: Focused on enterprise AI and quantum computing, aiming for practical quantum advantage by late 2026. Projected earnings growth of 7.5% in 2026 [15][16]
AI, Defense & Quantum Drive 2026 Investment: NVDA and 2 More to Lead