Wheat Rallying Ahead of USDA Report

Market Overview - Wheat is experiencing gains of 4 to 9 cents as of Monday morning, with Chicago SRW futures showing a slight decrease while KC HRW futures closed higher [1] - Open interest in Chicago SRW futures increased by 3,792 contracts on Friday, while KC HRW futures saw a decrease of 463 contracts [1] USDA Reports - The USDA is set to release the Winter Wheat Seedings report, with analysts predicting a total winter wheat acreage of 32.4 million acres, including 23 million acres for HRW, 5.9 million acres for SRW, and 3.5 million acres for white wheat [2] - US wheat ending stocks are expected to decrease by 5 million bushels to 896 million bushels according to the WASDE report [2] Grain Stocks Report - The upcoming quarterly Grain Stocks report is anticipated to show an average estimate of 1.636 billion bushels of wheat on hand as of December 1, with estimates ranging from 1.59 to 1.696 billion bushels [3] Commitment of Traders Data - Recent Commitment of Traders data indicates that managed money has increased their net short position in CBT wheat futures and options to 107,165 contracts as of January 6 [4] - In contrast, spec traders in KC wheat have reduced their net short position by 2,664 contracts to 15,655 contracts, marking the smallest net short since November 2024 [4] Price Movements - As of the latest data, various wheat futures prices are as follows: - March 26 CBOT Wheat closed at $5.17 1/4, currently up 7 3/4 cents - May 26 CBOT Wheat closed at $5.28 3/4, currently up 7 1/4 cents - March 26 KCBT Wheat closed at $5.30 1/4, currently up 9 cents - May 26 KCBT Wheat closed at $5.43, currently up 7 cents - March 26 MIAX Wheat closed at $5.68 1/2, currently up 4 1/4 cents - May 26 MIAX Wheat closed at $5.78, currently up 4 1/4 cents [4]