2026年以来南向资金持续流入 机构人士：港股有望震荡上行
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao·2026-01-13 22:22

Core Viewpoint - The southbound capital flow into the Hong Kong stock market reached a record net inflow of 1,404.844 billion HKD in 2025, continuing into 2026 with a cumulative net inflow of 41.296 billion HKD as of January 13, 2026, indicating strong market performance driven by this influx [1][2]. Group 1: Southbound Capital Flow - In 2025, southbound capital became the largest source of incremental funds for the Hong Kong stock market, with a total net inflow of 1,404.844 billion HKD, setting a record for annual net inflow [2]. - As of January 13, 2026, there were 6 out of 7 trading days with net inflows, totaling 41.296 billion HKD since the beginning of the year [2]. - The number of shares held by southbound capital increased to 5,643.75 billion shares, with a market value of 6.33 trillion HKD, reflecting a growth of 0.19 trillion HKD since the start of 2026 [2]. Group 2: Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index rose over 4% and the Hang Seng Technology Index increased over 6% since the beginning of 2026, with more than 60% of stocks in the index with a market capitalization exceeding 1 trillion HKD showing an average increase of over 3% [1][5]. - The healthcare, materials, and conglomerates sectors led the market with increases of 15.46%, 12.86%, and 7.62% respectively, while only the telecommunications sector saw a decline of 0.49% [5][6]. - Major stocks such as Tencent Holdings and Alibaba-W saw significant increases, with Tencent rising 4.76% and Alibaba increasing 11.97% since the start of 2026 [6]. Group 3: Investment Outlook - Analysts predict that the southbound capital flow will continue to increase, driven by the low allocation of mainland investors in Hong Kong stocks and the trend of retail funds flowing into the market through ETFs [4]. - The market is expected to benefit from the "14th Five-Year Plan" and the dual easing of fiscal and monetary policies from major economies, with a focus on technology innovation and consumption themes [7][8]. - Five long-term investment directions are suggested: technology sectors including AI, healthcare, resource sectors benefiting from inflation, essential consumer sectors, and industries benefiting from RMB appreciation [8].