博道基金张建胜： 追求成长但不为高溢价“买单”

Core Viewpoint - The current market equates "investing in technology" with "buying AI," with many investors viewing optical modules as a ticket to the AI market. However, some fund managers, like Zhang Jiansheng from Baodao Fund, adopt a different approach by focusing on growth without chasing extreme hot stocks, achieving significant returns through early-stage investments in various sectors [1][2]. Investment Strategy - Zhang Jiansheng's investment framework emphasizes a "bottom-up, moderately diversified, and balanced growth" approach, with a strong focus on valuation and drawdown control. His cautious risk preference stems from early career experiences during market volatility [2]. - His investment style features distinct left-side trading characteristics, where he sets target market values for companies and gradually sells once stock prices reach predetermined levels, avoiding high premium purchases [2][3]. Market Insights - Zhang believes that leading companies with high market attention and expectations require deep industry knowledge to generate excess returns. He prefers to identify "left-side" targets with lower market attention and reasonable valuations, which helps manage downside risks [3][4]. - His portfolio construction strategy involves limiting single industry holdings to no more than 25%, maintaining a balanced allocation across high-end manufacturing, TMT, and consumer sectors, which aids in drawdown control [3][4]. Valuation Focus - Zhang's emphasis on valuation allows him to uncover opportunities in less popular market segments, such as his early 2024 positioning in the Hong Kong stock market and the 2025 focus on the innovative drug sector, where he aims to profit from valuation recovery [4][5]. - He recognizes that low valuations do not guarantee stock price increases; thus, identifying marginal changes in industry dynamics is crucial. His investment in semiconductor storage reflects a dual assessment of valuation and industry trends [5][6]. 2026 Market Outlook - Zhang maintains an optimistic view of the A-share market, supported by three key factors: a significant decrease in risk premiums, ongoing regulatory support for capital markets, and signs of corporate earnings recovery [6][7]. - In terms of investment focus for 2026, he highlights three areas: AI, particularly in storage and connectivity, resources and high-end manufacturing benefiting from "re-industrialization" and "re-globalization," and valuation recovery opportunities in traditional industries like chemicals and consumer sectors [6][7].