谷歌英伟达遥遥领先，亚洲科技股持续看涨，“美股七巨头”统治力面临挑战

Core Viewpoint - The dominance of the "Big Seven" tech stocks in the US market is showing signs of weakening, as their performance has diverged, with only Alphabet and Nvidia outperforming the overall market in the past year [1][2][3] Group 1: Performance of the "Big Seven" - The "Big Seven" refers to Tesla, Nvidia, Microsoft, Amazon, Apple, Alphabet, and Meta, which collectively account for about one-third of the S&P 500 index [2] - In 2025, the "Big Seven" index rose by 25%, outperforming the S&P 500's 16% increase, primarily driven by Alphabet's 66% and Nvidia's 39% stock price increases [2] - The expected profit growth for the "Big Seven" stocks is about 18%, the lowest since 2022, only slightly above the 13% expected growth for the remaining 493 companies in the S&P 500 [3] Group 2: Diverging Company Prospects - Nvidia continues to see sales growth due to high demand for AI chips, despite concerns about competition and customer spending sustainability [2] - Microsoft is investing heavily in AI but is perceived to have slower profit growth [2] - Apple's cautious approach to AI investments has stabilized its position, but its high stock price is viewed as overvalued [2][3] Group 3: Shift in Market Focus - Investors are increasingly looking towards other components of the S&P 500 as profit growth slows and doubts about the returns from massive AI investments grow [3] - Year-to-date, the "Big Seven" index has only increased by 0.5%, while the S&P 500 has risen by 1.8% [3] Group 4: Rise of Asian Tech Stocks - Asian tech stocks are experiencing a strong rise, contrasting with the slowdown in US tech stocks, with expectations that they will outperform their US counterparts throughout the year [4] - The MSCI Asia Pacific Information Technology Index has outperformed the Nasdaq 100 Index by 33 percentage points this year [4] - Major players in the Asian tech sector, such as Samsung and various Chinese AI companies, are showing significant growth and market confidence [4][6][7] Group 5: Future Outlook for Chinese Tech Giants - The Chinese tech sector is gaining attention, with predictions that the "Big Eight" Chinese tech companies could surpass the "Big Seven" US tech companies in profit growth by 2026 [6][7] - Recent IPOs of Chinese AI companies have boosted market confidence, with significant stock price increases observed [7]