世界银行上调2026全球经济增速预期，强调关税阴影下仍具韧性

Group 1 - The World Bank indicates that despite escalating trade tensions and increasing policy uncertainty, the global economy shows significant resilience, although growth remains overly concentrated in developed economies, making it difficult to effectively reduce extreme poverty [1][2] - The global economic growth rate is projected to slightly slow to 2.6% in 2026, down from 2.7% in 2025, with the 2026 GDP growth forecast being adjusted upward by 0.2 percentage points compared to last year's June forecast [1] - The strong performance of the U.S. economy, despite trade disruptions caused by tariffs, is a major factor behind the upward revision of global growth rates [2] Group 2 - The World Bank expects the GDP growth rate for the U.S. to reach 2.2% in 2026, up from 2.1% in 2025, with adjustments of 0.2 and 0.5 percentage points respectively from last year's forecasts [2] - The overall growth rate for emerging markets and developing economies is projected to slow to 4.0% in 2026, down from 4.2% in 2025, but with upward adjustments of 0.2 and 0.3 percentage points from previous forecasts [3] - The Eurozone's economic growth is expected to slow to 0.9% in 2026 from 1.4% in 2025, primarily due to the impact of U.S. tariff policies, although defense spending increases may support a rebound in 2027 [3]