分析师：2026年10年期国债收益率区间或在1.7%到2.1%之间

Core Viewpoint - The yield on 10-year government bonds is expected to range between 1.7% and 2.1% by 2026, with the spread between 30-year and 10-year government bonds likely returning to around 50 basis points, reflecting a comprehensive consideration of macroeconomic and policy environments, as well as changes in institutional allocation behavior [1] Group 1 - The market's primary focus since December of last year has been on the supply and demand issues related to ultra-long-term bonds [1] - The capacity of insurance funds and large banks to absorb ultra-long-term bonds has significantly lagged behind the pace of supply expansion, leading to a pronounced steepening of the yield curve during the process of rising yields [1]