有色金属，真的是“闷声发财”的典范

Core Viewpoint - The current market risks are more about the specific sectors investors are involved in rather than the overall market itself, with a focus on long-term opportunities in sectors like non-ferrous metals and chemicals [1][38]. Group 1: Market Sentiment and Risks - The market sentiment is currently stable, with indicators suggesting a balanced state [39]. - A-shares are viewed as a safe haven amid global turmoil, attracting significant investment even during anticipated market corrections [3][41]. - Investors are concerned about missing out on bullish trends while being cautious about entering certain sectors [3][41]. Group 2: Non-Ferrous Metals Sector - The non-ferrous metals sector is expected to perform well due to increasing demand driven by AI infrastructure and energy needs [44][51]. - The supply of copper is becoming increasingly constrained, with average copper ore grades declining from 1.2% in 2010 to 0.8% by 2025, while demand from sectors like electric vehicles and AI data centers is surging [49]. - The geopolitical landscape is fostering resource nationalism, leading countries to prioritize control over their natural resources, which could benefit the non-ferrous metals sector [51][56]. Group 3: Chemical Sector - The chemical sector is quietly attracting investment, with significant growth in the chemical ETF, which is nearing 50 billion in size [62][63]. - The sector is expected to benefit from supply-demand dynamics, policy changes, and technological advancements, with new industries driving demand for high-end chemical materials [68]. - The chemical sector is anticipated to enter a favorable cycle by 2026, with current valuations remaining reasonable compared to other industries [70].