智通财经网·2026-01-14 02:31Group 1: Lithium Market Insights - Lithium supply growth is slowing while energy storage demand is experiencing high growth, indicating an industry turning point with lithium prices entering an upward channel [1] - In H1 2025, lithium faced oversupply pressure leading to price declines, but strong demand from energy storage in H2 2025 has driven prices up [1][2] - The global lithium supply is projected to reach 215.9 million tons in 2026, with growth rates declining from 26% to 13% by 2028, while energy storage demand is expected to outpace supply growth [2] Group 2: Cobalt Market Dynamics - The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) is implementing a quota system that significantly reduces cobalt supply, with a projected 56% decrease in total quotas from 2024 levels by 2026-2027 [3] - Demand from consumer electronics is expected to exceed expectations, leading to a projected global cobalt shortage of 3.6 and 3.2 million tons in 2026 and 2027, respectively [3] - The domestic inventory is being continuously consumed, leading to a tight supply situation before new raw materials from the DRC arrive [3] Group 3: Nickel Market Overview - Indonesia's regulatory measures aim to control nickel supply and support prices, with a focus on high-grade nickel resources and restrictions on new pyrometallurgical capacity [4] - Nickel supply remains tight due to slow approval processes for mining quotas and external factors affecting mining and transportation capabilities [4] - The nickel market is expected to face potential reductions in mining quotas in 2026, necessitating close monitoring of Indonesia's policy changes [4]