法国2025年出生人数低于死亡人数 人口自然增长转负

Core Viewpoint - France is projected to experience a natural population decline in 2025, with births falling below deaths for the first time since World War II [1] Population Statistics - The number of newborns in France for 2025 is estimated at 645,000, a decrease of 2.1% compared to 2024 [1] - The total fertility rate in France has dropped to 1.56, matching levels last seen in 1918 [1] - The decline in birth rates is primarily attributed to a decrease in fertility rates among women under 35 [1] Mortality Rates - The number of deaths in France is expected to rise to 651,000 in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.5% due to seasonal diseases like influenza [1] Life Expectancy - Despite the natural population decline, life expectancy in France continues to rise, with women expected to live an average of 85.9 years and men 80.3 years in 2025, both above the EU average [1] Immigration Impact - The net immigration figure for France in 2025 is estimated at 176,000, which will contribute to a slight overall population increase of 0.25%, bringing the total population to approximately 69.1 million by January 1, 2026 [1] - The domestic population is projected to be 66.8 million, while the population in overseas territories is estimated at 2.3 million [1]