债市日报：1月14日

Market Overview - The bond market showed weakness in early trading on January 14, with a net injection of 212.2 billion yuan in the open market, while funding rates generally increased [1][5] - The market is characterized by mixed factors, making it difficult to establish a clear trend, with expectations of continued volatility [1] Bond Futures - Most government bond futures closed higher, with the 30-year main contract down 0.04% at 111.27, while the 10-year main contract rose 0.08% to 107.93 [2] - The 10-year government bond yield decreased by 0.5 basis points to 1.855%, while the 30-year yield increased by 0.35 basis points to 2.2975% [2] International Bond Market - In North America, U.S. Treasury yields were mixed, with the 2-year yield down 0.19 basis points at 3.530% and the 30-year yield up 0.82 basis points at 4.837% [3] - In the Eurozone, yields on 10-year bonds increased, with French bonds up 1.6 basis points to 3.520% and German bonds up 0.7 basis points to 2.845% [3] Primary Market - The Ministry of Finance reported weighted average yields for 91-day, 1-year, and 30-year government bonds at 1.1726%, 1.22%, and 2.38%, respectively, with bid-to-cover ratios of 3.13, 2.29, and 5.17 [4] - Agricultural Development Bank's financial bonds had yields of 1.5063%, 1.6530%, and 1.9961% for 1.0356-year, 3-year, and 10-year bonds, with bid-to-cover ratios of 3.03, 3.9, and 5.22 [4] Funding Conditions - The central bank conducted a 240.8 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation at a rate of 1.40%, resulting in a net injection of 212.2 billion yuan for the day [5] - Short-term Shibor rates mostly increased, with the overnight rate down 0.1 basis points to 1.39% and the 7-day rate up 2.7 basis points to 1.55% [5] Institutional Insights - CITIC Securities noted that local government financing platforms are accelerating the separation of their financing functions, with stronger regions managing to adapt better to market conditions [6] - China International Capital Corporation highlighted that inflationary pressures in the U.S. are primarily from the service sector, suggesting that the Federal Reserve may maintain its current stance on interest rates for the time being [7]