盘前：零售销售数据将公布 纳指期货跌0.63%

Market Overview - Global market trends are mixed, with US stock index futures declining amid geopolitical risks, particularly regarding potential US intervention in Iran, leading investors to seek safety in precious metals [2][19] - As of the latest update, Dow futures are down 0.32%, S&P 500 futures down 0.42%, and Nasdaq futures down 0.63% [20] - European markets are generally rising, with the pan-European Stoxx 600 index opening up 0.3%, reaching a historical high [20] Economic Indicators - Key upcoming catalysts include earnings reports from major Wall Street banks, speeches from Federal Reserve officials, and the release of the Producer Price Index (PPI) and retail sales data [21] - The US inflation rate for December remained at 2.7% year-on-year, aligning with expectations, while concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve have emerged due to a criminal investigation into Chairman Powell [22] Commodity Market - Precious metals continue to perform strongly, with silver surpassing $90 per ounce and gold reaching a historical high, driven by geopolitical tensions and expectations of potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [25] - Analysts suggest that ongoing geopolitical tensions and concerns about the Federal Reserve's independence will likely continue to attract investment into gold and silver [25][26] Currency Market - The US dollar remains stable, with the euro holding around 1.1645, as investors await developments from discussions involving Greenland, Denmark, and the US [23] - The potential for a constructive agreement regarding Greenland could alleviate some geopolitical risks affecting the euro, although its overall impact on exchange rates is expected to be limited [23] Stock Market Predictions - Ariel Investments' CEO predicts a potential 20% decline in the Dow Jones index by the end of 2026, citing pressures on ordinary consumers from high living costs as a significant factor [29][30] - Despite a generally bullish outlook from Wall Street financial giants, this prediction highlights a contrasting view regarding the sustainability of the current market conditions [30] Individual Stocks - Rivian is down nearly 3% in pre-market trading due to a recall of over 19,000 electric vehicles and a downgrade to "sell" by UBS [30] - Intel shares are up over 3% in pre-market trading following indications that Apple has invested in Intel [31] - Honeywell is up 1.6% in pre-market trading as its quantum computing division plans to file for an IPO [32] - AstraZeneca is up about 2% in pre-market trading after acquiring Modella AI to accelerate cancer drug development [33] - Bilibili is up nearly 5% in pre-market trading, reporting over 20% growth in advertising revenue for 11 consecutive quarters [34]