BRK.B vs. CB: Which Insurer is a Safer Option for a Solid Portfolio?

Industry Overview - The insurance industry is experiencing soft pricing, with global commercial insurance rates declining by 4% in Q3 after seven years of increases [1] - Natural catastrophe losses are expected to reach approximately $107 billion by 2025, primarily due to events like LA wildfires and severe storms in the U.S. [2] - The combined ratio for the insurance sector is projected to improve to 98.5% in 2025, supported by increased exposure and prudent underwriting practices [2] Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) - Berkshire Hathaway operates as a diversified conglomerate with over 90 subsidiaries across various industries, with insurance being a key segment contributing about 25% of total revenues [4] - The company benefits from a float-driven model that enhances earnings and provides capital for investments, supported by a strong cash reserve exceeding $100 billion [5][7] - Despite a return on equity (ROE) of 7.3%, which is below the industry average of 8%, Berkshire has shown improvement over time [8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for BRK.B's 2026 revenues indicates a 6% year-over-year increase, while EPS is expected to decline by 4.2% [17] Chubb Limited (CB) - Chubb is a leading provider of property and casualty insurance, boasting a diversified business model that enhances earnings stability [11] - The company anticipates an 8.6% increase in EPS by 2026, contrasting with BRK.B's expected decline [10] - Chubb maintains one of the lowest combined ratios in the industry due to disciplined underwriting practices and strategic mergers and acquisitions [14] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CB's 2026 revenues suggests a 6.5% year-over-year decrease, while EPS is projected to rise by 8.6% [18] Comparative Analysis - Chubb outperforms Berkshire in terms of ROE and dividend growth, making it a more attractive investment option [10][24] - Berkshire's price-to-book multiple is 1.53, above its five-year median of 1.44, while Chubb's is 1.52, below its median of 1.56 [19] - Chubb has a solid dividend track record, increasing dividends for 32 consecutive years, with a current yield of 1.3%, compared to Berkshire's lack of dividends [23]