Core Insights - Sandisk (SNDK) is well-positioned to benefit from an accelerating PC refresh cycle driven by Windows 11 adoption and the impending Windows 10 end-of-support deadline, prompting upgrades in aging PC fleets [2][10] - The company’s edge segment revenue reached $1.39 billion in Q1 fiscal 2026, accounting for 30% of total revenues and growing 30% year-over-year, driven by increased storage content per system rather than pricing dynamics [3][10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 revenues is $10.45 billion, reflecting a 42.07% year-over-year growth, supported by the ongoing PC refresh cycle [4][10] Industry Dynamics - The PC unit shipments are expected to grow at low single-digit rates in 2026, while average NAND capacity per device is projected to increase at mid-single-digit rates, indicating a structural trend where content growth is more significant than unit growth [2] - Sandisk faces competition from Western Digital (WDC) and Micron Technology (MU) in capturing the PC refresh demand [5] - Western Digital is transitioning to higher-layer NAND architectures to enhance cost efficiency and capacity offerings, while Micron Technology leverages its integrated DRAM and NAND portfolio for bundled memory solutions [6][7] Financial Performance - Sandisk shares have appreciated 817.7% over the past six months, significantly outperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector, which returned 20.2% [8] - The stock is trading at a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 4.8X, compared to the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices' 7.49X [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 earnings is $13.46 per share, up 7% over the past 30 days, with reported earnings of $2.99 per share in fiscal 2025 [14]
Can PC Refresh Cycle Drive Edge Segment Growth for SNDK Stock?