Why AerCap (AER) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again

Core Viewpoint - AerCap (AER) is positioned well to potentially beat earnings estimates in its upcoming quarterly report, supported by a strong history of exceeding expectations [1]. Earnings Performance - AerCap has a solid track record of surpassing earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 30.09% over the last two quarters [2]. - In the last reported quarter, AerCap achieved earnings of $4.97 per share, significantly exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.16 per share, resulting in a surprise of 57.28% [3]. - For the previous quarter, the company was expected to report earnings of $2.75 per share but delivered $2.83 per share, yielding a surprise of 2.91% [3]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Estimates for AerCap have been trending upward, influenced by its history of earnings surprises [6]. - The stock currently has a positive Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) of +8.70%, indicating increased analyst optimism regarding its near-term earnings potential [9]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) suggests a high likelihood of another earnings beat, with historical data showing that this combination results in positive surprises nearly 70% of the time [7][9]. Upcoming Earnings Report - AerCap's next earnings report is anticipated to be released on February 6, 2026 [9].