These Experts Say Buy Credit Card Stocks Despite Trump's Threats

Core Viewpoint - Credit card stocks are experiencing a decline following President Trump's criticism of the industry regarding high interest rates and fees, alongside his proposal for a cap on credit card interest rates at 10% and support for the Credit Card Competition Act [2][3]. Group 1: Market Reaction - Shares of Visa and American Express have dropped 7% and 5% respectively since the beginning of the week, making them among the worst performers in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, while Mastercard has seen a decline of about 5% [4]. - Analysts from William Blair and Citigroup express confidence that the long-term impact on credit card stocks will be limited, suggesting that historical trends indicate buying during sell-offs related to potential business model changes has been beneficial for investors [5][9]. Group 2: Legislative Context - The Credit Card Competition Act aims to require large banks to enable at least two payment networks for credit cards, with only one being Visa or Mastercard, potentially challenging the dominance of these networks [3]. - The proposed interest rate cap and network reform have raised doubts among experts regarding their implementation by Congress or the Trump administration, but the market has historically overestimated the financial impact of such reforms [5]. Group 3: Historical Performance - Following the enactment of the Durbin Amendment, which capped debit card transaction fees, Visa and Mastercard stocks rose significantly, with respective increases of 1,700% and 2,600% over the past 15 years, outperforming the S&P 500's 550% return during the same period [10]. - Analysts note that despite the requirement for two unaffiliated networks on debit cards, interchange rates did not decrease, suggesting that Visa and Mastercard could similarly adapt if credit card regulations change [8].