Jin Rong Jie·2026-01-15 00:42Core Viewpoint - Despite recent regulatory measures to cool down the market and prevent overheating risks, the overall trading activity in the equity market remains at historically high levels, with key indicators such as average daily trading volume and margin financing balances exceeding long-term averages, indicating that securities firms are likely to continue benefiting from high profitability elasticity through 2025 [1] Group 1 - The capital market's functional recovery is gradually improving, with expectations of optimized equity financing pace, increased M&A activity, expanded derivative tools, and deepened wealth management transformation [1] - The business boundaries of securities firms are expected to continue broadening, leading to more diversified and stable revenue streams, with potential for improvement in operational quality and valuation levels [1] Group 2 - As of January 14, 2026, the Securities III (CITIC) index PB (LF) valuation is approximately 1.5x, positioned at the 43rd percentile since 2016, while the Chinese securities firms (H) index PB (LF) valuation is about 0.9x, situated at the 70th percentile since 2016, suggesting a recommendation for active allocation [1]