Core Viewpoint - The report from CITIC Securities indicates that the synergy between self-controllable technology and AI will drive significant performance in related sectors by 2025, with expectations for further strengthening in 2026. The focus will be on domestic computing power and semiconductor equipment, alongside a potential turnaround opportunity in consumer electronics by Q2 2026 [1]. Investment Theme 1: Domestic Computing Power and Semiconductor Equipment - Domestic computing power is expected to transition from point breakthroughs to systematic reconstruction by 2026, driven by increased local demand and intensified overseas restrictions. The market share of domestic manufacturers is projected to rise from 30-40% currently to 60-70% by 2030, with the total addressable market (TAM) for domestic computing power anticipated to grow from over $13 billion in 2025 to over $180 billion by 2030 [1]. - The expansion of domestic wafer fabs is being driven by the dual forces of increased production capacity and accelerated localization. The domestic equipment procurement rate is estimated to rise from 18% in 2022 to 25% in 2023, and further to over 30% by 2025, with expectations of reaching 40% by 2026 [4][5]. Investment Theme 2: High Growth in AI-Driven PCB and Storage Sectors - The PCB sector is expected to benefit from the demand for AI computing power, with significant growth anticipated in 2026-2027. The need for high-speed transmission and interconnectivity in AI chips will drive the upgrade of PCB technology, enhancing its value [16]. - The storage sector is entering a super cycle driven by AI demand, with prices for mainstream storage products expected to rise significantly. The visibility of shortages is high, and prices for DRAM and NAND are projected to continue increasing through the first half of 2026 [23]. Investment Theme 3: Consumer Electronics and Edge AI Opportunities - The consumer electronics sector is currently facing challenges due to storage price increases and shortages, but a potential turnaround is anticipated in Q2 2026. Innovations in AI smartphones, AI/AR glasses, and other AIoT products are expected to drive growth [30].
中信证券电子2026年投资策略:“自主可控、AI”为贯穿全年主线 “消费电子”为支线、关注重大转折机遇