12月进出口数据双超预期，出口链盈利改善明确

Group 1 - In December, China's imports in USD terms increased by 5.7% year-on-year, exceeding the expected growth of 0.9% and the previous value of 1.9% [1] - China's exports in December rose by 6.6% year-on-year, surpassing the expected growth of 3.1% and the previous value of 5.9% [1] - The trade surplus in December was $114.14 billion, slightly below the expected surplus of $114.35 billion [1] Group 2 - The core driver of the unexpected growth in exports is attributed to product structure upgrades and market diversification, with high-tech product exports expected to grow by 13.2% in 2025 [1] - The export scale of "new three items" (electric vehicles, photovoltaic products, lithium batteries) is close to 1.3 trillion, with exports to ASEAN and Belt and Road countries increasing by 11.2% each [1] - The recovery in import growth is due to improved domestic demand and stabilization of commodity prices, with imports of mechanical and electrical products and integrated circuits increasing by 6% and 7.3% year-on-year, respectively [1] Group 3 - Looking ahead, foreign trade is expected to maintain steady growth in 2026, with exports continuing to shift towards high-tech and high-value-added products [2] - The trade surplus is anticipated to remain within a reasonable range, with foreign trade continuing to exert a positive impact on the economy [2] - In the A-share market, the improved export data in December enhances economic resilience and market risk appetite, benefiting high-tech manufacturing sectors such as new energy, photovoltaics, and high-end equipment [2]