Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-01-15 02:32Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing significant growth, with the popular ETF, Huabao Non-ferrous ETF (159876), hitting a new historical high and attracting substantial capital inflow [1][9]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Huabao Non-ferrous ETF (159876) saw an increase of 3.23% and 2.69%, marking five consecutive days of gains and setting a new historical high [1][9]. - As of the report, the ETF received a net subscription of 38.4 million units, accumulating a total of 440 million yuan in the past ten days [1][9]. Group 2: Sector Analysis - In the gold sector, Xian Financial Securities suggests that the U.S. faces recession pressures, high sovereign debt, and trade deficits, which weaken the dollar's credibility, leading to increased focus on gold as a global asset [2][10]. - For copper, China Galaxy Securities indicates that there is still significant upward potential for copper prices, as historical data shows that current prices, adjusted for inflation, have not reached previous supercycle highs [3][11]. - Strategic metals like tungsten, molybdenum, titanium, and rare earths are expected to see increased demand due to technological revolutions and supply chain security concerns, as noted by CITIC Securities [3][11]. Group 3: Stock Performance - Key stocks in the non-ferrous metal sector include Huaxi Non-ferrous, Hunan Silver, and Huayou Cobalt, all of which have surged over 7% [4][12]. - Other notable performers include Ganfeng Lithium, which rose over 6%, and several other stocks that experienced significant gains [4][12]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The industry is expected to enter a supercycle driven by the convergence of AI advancements and global order restructuring, with historical parallels drawn to significant macroeconomic events [5][13]. - Institutions predict a bullish market for non-ferrous metals, with expectations of a synchronized upward trend in currency, demand, and supply by 2026 [5][13].