JPM26: Biotech’s M&A lift, the ‘new’ Biogen and Merck’s $70B target

Biogen - Biogen has five experimental drugs in late-stage testing with significant commercial potential, including two lupus therapies and an antibody acquired for $1.2 billion, which is being evaluated for kidney illnesses [1] - The executive team has been actively engaging with investors, and sentiment has reportedly improved regarding the company's pipeline, which is highlighted in their presentations [2] - Biogen's recent product launches have not met sales expectations, leading to a perception of lackluster investor appeal, but the company believes its stock does not reflect the potential of its revamped pipeline [6] Gilead Sciences - Gilead's CEO claims the company is entering a new era of growth with unprecedented opportunities, supported by a robust pipeline that could lead to up to 10 launches by the end of 2027 [7] Summit Therapeutics - Summit Therapeutics is facing increased competition in the PD-1/VEGF inhibitor space, which has affected its investor standing [9] - The company argues it has a differentiated drug, ivonescimab, which has shown success in Phase 3 trials and is expected to generate substantial value [12] - Summit has collaborations with major companies and is set to report findings from a significant lung cancer study that could unlock substantial market potential [13] Merck & Co. - Merck aims to grow despite the impending loss of exclusivity for Keytruda, targeting $70 billion in sales by the mid-2030s through new drugs and acquisitions [14] - The company is in Phase 3 testing for a preventive influenza medicine acquired for $9.2 billion and is actively seeking to expand its pipeline through acquisitions [15][19] Moderna - Moderna is preparing for a pivotal year in 2026 with potential regulatory approvals for influenza vaccines and anticipated data for a skin cancer vaccine [20] - The company expects revenue growth of 10% and further cost reductions, which have positively impacted investor sentiment [21] - Moderna has faced challenges due to declining COVID vaccine sales and public skepticism but has a plan to achieve financial break-even by 2028 [25]