北京大学国发院李玲：“健康中国”或将为人类健康做出中国式原创贡献

Core Insights - The "Sina Finance 2025 Conference and the 18th Golden Unicorn Forum" will be held on January 15, 2026, in Beijing, focusing on the theme of "Starting the 14th Five-Year Plan, New Economic Voyage - Reshaping Growth Paradigms, Creating Future Prosperity" [1][9] - Li Ling, a prominent figure in China's economic and health sectors, highlighted the achievements and challenges of China's healthcare system, emphasizing the need for a shift from a disease-centered approach to a health-centered paradigm [4][12] Healthcare Spending - In 2024, China's total health expenditure is estimated at 90,895.5 billion yuan, with government spending accounting for 24.9%, social spending for 47.6%, and personal spending for 27.5% [1][9] - The per capita health expenditure is 6,454.4 yuan, and the total health expenditure as a percentage of GDP is 6.7%, marking a significant decline below 7% for the first time [1][9] Challenges and Opportunities - The aging population presents significant challenges, necessitating a focus on disease prevention rather than treating aging as a disease [4][12] - The "Healthy China" national strategy prioritizes health as a key indicator of socialist modernization, advocating for a preventive approach to health [4][12] Systemic Changes in Healthcare - The government is promoting a systemic approach to healthcare, integrating county, township, and village services into a cohesive "health community" model, moving away from hospitals competing for patient revenue [5][13] - The "Sanming Model" aims to incentivize hospitals and doctors to manage patients' health proactively, with a nationwide rollout planned within four years [5][13] Emerging Health Industry - The integration of healthcare, pharmaceuticals, green food, wellness, and elderly care is expected to create a new "big health" industry, which could surpass the real estate sector in scale [5][13] - This industry is seen as a lifelong necessity for individuals, with potential benefits extending beyond China to serve global health needs [5][13] Future Health Management - The envisioned future health model includes a personal health code system, supported by AI for continuous health management throughout an individual's life [6][14] - The "Healthy China" and "Smart Health" initiatives are positioned as new development models that will contribute significantly to global health, leveraging China's historical wisdom and modern technological advancements [6][14]