全文|北京大学国发院李玲：健康中国、智慧健康将是我国新的发展模式、新的蓝海

Group 1 - The forum "Sina Finance 2025 Annual Conference and the 18th Golden Unicorn Forum" will be held on January 15, 2026, in Beijing, focusing on the theme of "The 14th Five-Year Plan Starts, Economic New Voyage - Reshaping Growth Paradigms, Creating Future Prosperity" [1][31] - Li Ling, Deputy Director of the Economic Committee of the 13th National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference, will deliver a speech on "Pension and Health Red Power, Reform of Medical and Health Systems from a Global Comparative Perspective" [2][32] Group 2 - The U.S. national debt has exceeded $38 trillion, and the fiscal situation is deteriorating, which is a fundamental reason for the country's decline [5][36] - In 2025, U.S. fiscal revenue is projected to be $5.235 trillion, with major expenditures including Medicare and Medicaid, which together exceed $1.6 trillion, making healthcare the largest expenditure item [6][7][37] - The U.S. healthcare expenditure as a percentage of GDP has surpassed its industrial value-added percentage, indicating a decline in industrial competitiveness due to high healthcare costs [10][40] Group 3 - China's healthcare expenditure as a percentage of GDP has dropped below 7% for the first time in 2024, while industrial value-added remains high, showcasing effective healthcare reforms [13][43] - The aging population poses significant challenges, with over 300 million people aged 60 and above in China, leading to increased healthcare demands [14][43] - The "Healthy China National Strategy" prioritizes health development, shifting from a disease-centered approach to a health-centered one, emphasizing prevention and investment in health [19][48] Group 4 - The government is promoting a "Three Ming Model" for healthcare, integrating county, township, and village healthcare systems to incentivize health management rather than treatment [23][52] - The new "Health+" development paradigm aims to integrate healthcare, medicine, green food, wellness, and elderly care into a large health industry, which is expected to exceed the real estate sector in scale [25][55] - The future model of "Healthy China" will utilize AI and digital technologies for comprehensive health management throughout individuals' lifecycles [28][58] Group 5 - The integration of traditional Chinese wisdom with industrialization and information technology is seen as a unique opportunity for China to contribute to global health solutions [29][59]