1月15日金市晚评：黄金创历史新高后显露疲态 4600会是转折点吗？

Core Viewpoint - The current geopolitical tensions, particularly regarding Iran, and economic indicators in the U.S. are influencing gold prices, with potential for increased demand as a safe-haven asset amid uncertainty [3][4]. Market Overview - The U.S. dollar index is fluctuating around 99.172, while gold is trading at $4601.04 per ounce, reflecting a decline of 0.54% from a high of $4631.37 and a low of $4580.61 [1]. - Recent data shows that gold prices have reached a historical high of $4643 per ounce, indicating a strong upward trend in the market [5]. Economic Indicators - The U.S. economy is experiencing moderate growth, but employment remains stagnant, with a noted increase of 700,000 in unemployment since Trump's administration began [4]. - The U.S. PPI showed a slight month-on-month increase, while retail sales exceeded expectations, which may negatively impact gold and silver prices [3]. Technical Analysis - Gold prices are currently above the 5-day moving average, indicating a strong bullish trend, but the relative strength index (RSI) suggests that momentum may be waning [5]. - Key support levels for gold are identified at $4600, with further attention on $4580/4570 and $4560 if this level is breached [5]. - Resistance is noted at the $4640/4645 range, which has proven to be a significant barrier for further price increases [6].