Market Focus - Indonesia has canceled its plan to increase the mandatory biodiesel blend ratio to 50% this year, maintaining the current mix of 40% palm oil-based fuel and 60% diesel [1] - Indonesia will raise the export levy on crude palm oil (CPO) from 10% to 12.5% starting March 1, with a similar increase of 2.5 percentage points for refined products [1] - Malaysia has lowered the reference price for crude palm oil for February, resulting in an export tax reduction to 9%, with the reference price set at 3,846.84 ringgit per ton, down from 3,946.17 ringgit in January [1] Soybean Processing Data - The National Oilseed Processors Association (NOPA) is expected to report a soybean crush of 224.809 million bushels for December, reflecting a month-over-month increase of 4.1% and a year-over-year increase of 8.8%, marking the second-highest monthly crush in history [2] - December's soybean oil inventory is projected to reach 1.686 billion pounds, an increase of 11.4% month-over-month and 36.4% year-over-year [2] Palm Oil Export Data - Malaysia's palm oil exports from January 1-15 amounted to 727,440 tons, an increase of 18.64% compared to 613,172 tons in the same period last month [2] Market Sentiment - The cancellation of Indonesia's B50 plan represents a significant adjustment in demand-side expectations, establishing a neutral to bearish market tone [4] - Despite strong short-term export performance and policy negotiations among exporting countries, it is challenging to reverse the weakening sentiment caused by long-term changes in consumption growth trends [4]
Mhy20260115油脂晚评：印尼B50计划取消，市场仍在消化