1688 AI实验室负责人善择：未来的购物场会同时存在超级中心化和去中心化的场

Core Viewpoint - The rapid advancement of AI technology is expected to significantly transform the e-commerce industry, particularly in the areas of product sourcing, pricing, and transaction processes, leading to both centralized and decentralized shopping experiences [3][4]. Group 1: AI Development and Impact - Research indicates that AI models currently complete tasks equivalent to human work in about half the time, with performance doubling approximately every 7 months, leading to a potential 10-fold increase in 2 years [3][7]. - If this exponential growth continues, AI's intelligence level could reach 100 times that of current capabilities within 3-5 years, profoundly affecting the three key elements of e-commerce: people, goods, and platforms [3][7]. Group 2: Future of E-commerce - The shopping experience is expected to evolve towards a centralized AI super entrance, allowing consumers to simply state their needs and budget, with AI handling the search and comparison across the internet [3][7]. - A new decentralized network of Agent-to-Agent (A2A) interactions is anticipated, where large B2B buyers will have dedicated agents to assist in sourcing, negotiating, and fulfilling orders, potentially eliminating the need for multiple apps [3][7]. Group 3: Industry Transformation - The powerful capabilities of AI are projected to disrupt productivity and relationships within the B2B and e-commerce sectors, with expectations for continuous innovation from AI applications and products [4][8].