Core Insights - The article discusses the implications of Donald Trump's interest in Venezuelan oil, suggesting that it may be driven by a desire to boost the US economy through cheaper oil prices as midterm elections approach [1][2] - It highlights the challenges and impracticalities of accessing Venezuelan oil, given the current economic conditions and the state of Venezuela's oil infrastructure [5][7] Economic Context - The global oil market is currently oversupplied, with prices at their lowest since 2021, making it economically unfeasible to extract Venezuelan crude without significant investment [4][5] - Venezuela's oil production is minimal, accounting for only 1% of global production, and its output has been severely hampered by a lack of investment in infrastructure [6] Investment Viability - Major oil companies view Venezuela as "uninvestable" due to the political instability and the risk of contracts being abrogated by future governments [8] - The economic case for investing in Venezuelan oil is weak, especially as the US economy has become less dependent on foreign oil over the years [8][10] Historical Precedents - The article draws parallels between Venezuela and past US interventions in oil-rich countries, noting that while opportunities may seem available, the reality often involves significant risks and challenges [12][15] - Historical examples show that multinational oil companies have often retreated from politically unstable regions, which may apply to Venezuela's current situation [14][15]
Why big oil giants may not rush to buy into Donald Trump's Venezuelan vision
The Guardian·2026-01-15 11:00