JPM26: Intuitive’s stock falls despite positive FY25 financials
Yahoo Finance·2026-01-15 13:22

Core Insights - Intuitive Surgical reported a strong financial performance for FY25, with revenues of approximately $10.06 billion, a 21% increase from $8.35 billion in FY24, and Q4 revenues expected to reach $2.87 billion, reflecting a 19% rise from $2.41 billion in Q4 2024 [1][2] Financial Performance - Preliminary FY25 revenues are around $10.06 billion, marking a 21% increase from FY24's $8.35 billion [1] - Q4 2025 revenues are projected at $2.87 billion, a 19% increase compared to Q4 2024's $2.41 billion [1] Market and Procedure Growth - Intuitive's da Vinci robots have been used in 20 million procedures by Q4 2025, with 35% of these procedures occurring outside the US, up from 17% in 2005 [2] - The company anticipates a 13% to 15% increase in da Vinci procedures for 2026, which is below the 15.2% growth expected by analysts, indicating the slowest growth rate since 2020 [4] Stock Performance - Following the financial report on January 14, Intuitive's stock fell by 5%, opening at $533.96 per share compared to a close of $561.82 on January 13, with a market cap of $193.82 billion [3] Analyst Insights - Analysts suggest that the stock decline is linked to the lower-than-expected procedure growth guidance for 2026, which is 50 basis points below last year's forecast [5] - Challenges in the Chinese market, including pricing issues and competition, have also contributed to investor concerns regarding Intuitive's growth potential [5] Competitive Landscape - Despite challenges, Intuitive held over 60% market share in China in 2024, indicating strong market leadership [6] - New competitors, such as Medtronic's Hugo, have entered the robotics market, with Hugo receiving US approval for urologic procedures in December 2025 [6] System Installations - In 2025, Intuitive placed nearly 1,900 systems across its platforms, with approximately 1,600 on multi-port, 100 on single-port, and about 190 for the Ion Robotic Bronchoscopy system, leading to a total installed base of 12,000 systems [7]