Here's why the Airbnb stock price has crashed and what to expect

Core Viewpoint - Airbnb's stock price experienced a significant decline of over 7% following a major policy change by the Trump administration, which halted immigrant visas for 75 countries, impacting travel demand [1][2]. Company Performance - Airbnb's revenue for the third quarter reached $4.1 billion, reflecting a 10% increase year-over-year, with net income at $1.4 billion and free cash flow of $2.1 billion, indicating strong profitability [7]. - Despite the positive financial results, analysts express caution regarding Airbnb's growth trajectory, which has slowed as travelers increasingly choose hotels over short-term rentals [7][8]. Analyst Outlook - Wall Street analysts have a mixed outlook on Airbnb's stock, with target prices set at $130 by UBS and Morgan Stanley, and lower targets from Wells Fargo, Barclays, and Truist at $130, $120, and $108 respectively [5]. - The consensus price target among analysts is $147, representing an 11% increase from the current level, which is not particularly encouraging given the current market conditions [6]. Industry Context - The World Travel & Tourism Council reported that the travel industry grew by 6.7% to $11.7 trillion in 2025, but foreign visitors to the US decreased by 6.7% due to Trump's policies, with only 68 million visitors compared to 105 million in France and 96.5 million in Spain [3]. - The likelihood of weaker travel demand this year is heightened by the recent visa policy changes [4]. Technical Analysis - The technical analysis of Airbnb's stock indicates a rebound from a low of $110 in November to a high of $141, with a critical resistance level at $130 [11]. - Following the recent crash, there is potential for the stock to rebound in the coming weeks, possibly reaching the year-to-date high of $141, with further gains possible if it surpasses this level [12].