Charles Schwab (SCHW) Q4 Earnings Preview: What You Should Know Beyond the Headline Estimates

Core Viewpoint - Analysts project that The Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW) will report quarterly earnings of $1.36 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 34.7%, with revenues expected to reach $6.3 billion, an 18.3% increase from the same quarter last year [1]. Earnings Projections - The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised upward by 3.3% over the past 30 days, indicating a collective reassessment by covering analysts [2]. - Revisions to earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor behavior and are strongly linked to short-term stock price performance [3]. Revenue Estimates - Analysts forecast 'Net Revenues- Net interest revenue' to reach $3.13 billion, indicating a year-over-year change of +23.7% [5]. - 'Net Revenues- Other' is expected to be $159.74 million, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of -8.7% [5]. - 'Net Revenues- Bank deposit account fees' are projected at $240.44 million, showing a slight decrease of -0.2% from the previous year [5]. - 'Net Revenues- Asset management and administration fees' are anticipated to be $1.70 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of +12.5% [6]. Client Assets and Trading Activity - Total client assets are projected to reach $11,803.17 billion, up from $10,101.30 billion year-over-year [6]. - Analysts predict 'Clients' Daily Average Trades (DATs)' to be 7.62 million, compared to 6.31 million in the same quarter last year [6]. - 'Average Interest Earning Assets' are expected to be $434.32 billion, slightly up from $426.44 billion year-over-year [7]. - 'Average Client Assets - Total managed investing solutions' is estimated at $811.94 million, an increase from $698.18 million in the same quarter last year [7]. Mutual Fund and Other Assets - 'Average Client Assets - Mutual Fund OneSource and other no-transaction-fee funds' are expected to reach $471.97 million, up from $363.02 million year-over-year [8]. - 'Average Client Assets - Schwab equity and bond funds, ETFs, and CTFs' are projected at $767.66 million, compared to $647.17 million in the same quarter last year [9]. - 'Average Client Assets - Schwab money market funds' are expected to be $680.04 million, up from $580.96 million year-over-year [10]. - 'Net new client assets' are projected at $133.72 billion, compared to $108.40 billion in the same quarter last year [10]. Stock Performance - Charles Schwab shares have increased by +5.5% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which rose by +1.6% [11].