Earnings Preview: Procter & Gamble (PG) Q2 Earnings Expected to Decline

Core Viewpoint - Procter & Gamble (PG) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues for the quarter ending December 2025, with actual results being a significant factor influencing its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is scheduled for January 22, and if the reported figures exceed expectations, the stock may rise; conversely, a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - The consensus estimate for PG's quarterly earnings is $1.87 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 0.5%, while revenues are projected to be $22.28 billion, an increase of 1.8% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating that analysts have not significantly altered their initial projections during this period [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for PG is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -0.94%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with a positive Earnings ESP indicating a higher likelihood of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a strong Zacks Rank [8][10]. - PG currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat given the negative Earnings ESP reading [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, PG was expected to post earnings of $1.90 per share but exceeded this with actual earnings of $1.99, resulting in a surprise of +4.74% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, PG has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Conclusion - While PG does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors when deciding to invest in or avoid the stock ahead of its earnings release [17].