Group 1 - Silver prices have surged, reaching historical highs, with prices exceeding $90 per ounce and a gold-silver ratio dropping to 50.57, the lowest in 13 years [3][4][8] - Since early 2025, silver has outperformed gold, with price increases of 190% for silver compared to 75% for gold, indicating a significant shift in market dynamics [3][4] - The historical relationship between the gold-silver ratio and the U.S. PMI has been disrupted, as the PMI remains below the growth threshold while the gold-silver ratio has sharply declined [14][19] Group 2 - The recent surge in silver prices is attributed to a combination of supply chain dynamics and increased industrial demand, particularly in sectors like solar energy and electronics [19][34] - The global silver inventory has been significantly affected by geopolitical factors, including tariff expectations, leading to a dramatic shift in silver stockpiles between regions [21][22] - Industrial demand for silver, especially in photovoltaic applications, is projected to continue growing, further straining available inventories and supporting higher prices [35][34] Group 3 - Historical patterns suggest that during bull markets, silver typically follows gold, but the current market conditions indicate a potential deviation from this trend [39][41] - Analysts predict that the gold-silver ratio may stabilize within a range of 40 to 80, reflecting ongoing market adjustments and potential price volatility for silver [41][40] - The current economic environment, characterized by inflation and geopolitical tensions, mirrors conditions from the 1970s, suggesting that silver and gold may continue to see upward price pressure [42][44]
白银50天涨逾80%,疯狂程度远超黄金,历史上爆炒白银往往预示贵金属牛市已到高潮,这次有何不同?
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen·2026-01-15 16:14