Core Viewpoint - The recent "structural interest rate cut" is primarily structural and does not imply an immediate traditional interest rate cut [1] Group 1: Monetary Policy Insights - The central bank announced a reduction in structural monetary policy tools without traditional interest rate cuts or reserve requirement ratio reductions [1] - The central bank indicated that recent changes in China's price levels are positive and that the coordination effect of macro policies is strengthening [1] - The overall monetary policy remains broadly accommodative despite the structural adjustments [1] Group 2: Market Reactions - Following the announcement, government bond futures initially rose slightly before retreating [1] - The calculated policy interest rate expectation index shows that current interest rate cut expectations are stable, with a projected cut of approximately 10 basis points for the entire year of 2026 [1]
中金公司:目前的降息预期大体平稳,对2026年全年降息预期在10bp左右