中信证券：社融将呈现“前高后稳、结构优化”的全年节奏

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the rhythm of government debt will continue to dominate social financing performance, leading to a "high at the beginning, stable later, and optimized structure" throughout the year 2026 [1] - In terms of credit, the manufacturing PMI returned above the threshold in December, and export growth exceeded expectations, reflecting a rebound in enterprise production and operational activity at the end of the year [1] - The People's Bank of China announced a 25 basis points reduction in the interest rates of various structural monetary policy tools on January 15, which is expected to lower the cost of funds for banks to issue loans in key areas through the "first lend, then borrow" mechanism [1] Group 2 - High-frequency data indicates a comprehensive increase in corporate loans due to year-end assessments by banks [1] - The decline in interest rates is anticipated to stimulate accelerated loan issuance in the future [1]