Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-01-16 02:10Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing a strong upward trend, with significant inflows into related ETFs, indicating robust investor interest and potential for continued growth [1][12]. Group 1: Market Performance - The popular non-ferrous ETF, Huabao (159876), saw an intraday increase of 2.2%, currently up 1.41%, reaching a new high since its listing [1][12]. - As of January 15, the latest scale of Huabao ETF reached 1.453 billion, marking a historical peak and ranking first among three ETFs tracking the China Nonferrous Metals Index [1][12]. - The ETF has attracted a net subscription of 50.4 million units, with a total net inflow of 473 million over the past ten days [1][12]. Group 2: Stock Performance - Leading stocks in the sector include Hunan Silver, which surged over 6%, along with Chihong Zn & Ge, Jiangxi Copper, and Jinchuan Group, all rising more than 5% [4][15]. - Other notable performers include Western Mining and Zhongjin Lingnan, both showing positive gains [4][15]. Group 3: Industry Outlook - Analysts predict that the non-ferrous metal sector will continue to thrive due to multiple factors, including global capital expenditure cycles, manufacturing recovery, and improved domestic macro expectations [5][16]. - The sector is expected to enter a bull market by 2026, driven by a confluence of monetary, demand, and supply factors [5][16]. - The demand for strategic metals is anticipated to rise significantly, influenced by new technologies and geopolitical factors, with a focus on metals used in military applications [3][16]. Group 4: Copper Market Insights - China Galaxy Securities suggests that copper prices have substantial upward potential, as historical analysis shows that current prices, adjusted for inflation, have not reached previous supercycle highs [3][14]. - The ongoing reshaping of the international monetary order and the low copper-to-gold ratio indicate a favorable environment for copper investments [3][14]. - The convergence of the AI technology revolution and global order restructuring is expected to create a new supercycle for copper [3][14].