炸场!欧元濒临破位 美联储成最后“救命稻草”
Jin Tou Wang·2026-01-16 02:26

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the Euro is currently under pressure against the US Dollar, primarily due to strong US economic data and a robust Dollar index, despite positive industrial output data from the Eurozone [1][2]. - Eurozone industrial output for November increased by 0.7% month-on-month and 2.5% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations, but this improvement is seen as insufficient to reverse the overall downtrend of the Euro [2]. - The Dollar index has recently stabilized above 99.25, providing strong support for the Euro's downward trend, with market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates in the 3.50%-3.75% range [1][2]. Group 2 - The Eurozone's economic recovery is perceived as lacking momentum, with the manufacturing PMI indicating weak manufacturing sentiment, which contributes to the Euro's inability to sustain upward momentum [2]. - The current trading environment is characterized by a "strong Dollar pressure + limited Eurozone positives" scenario, with short-term downward risks dominating [2]. - Traders are advised to closely monitor US economic data and Federal Reserve statements, as well as Eurozone economic indicators, to assess the potential for a trend reversal in the Euro [3].