Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang·2026-01-16 04:45Core Viewpoint - The 2026 Bond Market Annual Forum highlighted expectations for long-term interest rates to remain in a wide range of fluctuations, with potential for a gradual recovery in the macro economy if housing prices stabilize in the next two years [1] Group 1: Interest Rate Trends - Long-term interest rates are expected to experience wide fluctuations at the bottom [1] - A gradual upward trend in the interest rate center is anticipated, driven by a potential stabilization in housing prices and ongoing "anti-involution" efforts [1] Group 2: Investment Strategies - The market environment suggests avoiding unilateral duration strategies, favoring a focus on coupon strategies [1] - Recommendations include using short-duration credit bonds as a base, employing leverage strategies for interest rate arbitrage, and actively managing long-end volatility to enhance returns [1] - There is an emphasis on actively positioning in "fixed income +" opportunities [1]