杨呈发:黄金调整结束企稳看涨 今日黄金白银走势分析

Core Viewpoint - Gold, traditionally seen as a safe-haven asset, is experiencing an unexpected decline amidst global financial market volatility, influenced by strong U.S. employment data and a calming tone from President Trump regarding Iran, which has reduced the demand for gold as a hedge against uncertainty [1][4]. Market Analysis - As of January 15, the spot gold price fell to $4,615.73 per ounce, down approximately 0.2% from a record high, while U.S. futures also decreased by 0.3% [1][4]. - The current market shows two technical patterns for gold: 1. A short-term upward channel with upper limits at $4,630 and $3,643, and lower limits at $4,570 and $4,580. As long as this channel holds, there is potential for continued upward movement within the range of $4,640 to $4,670 [2][5]. 2. A triangular oscillation pattern formed by connecting previous highs at $4,550 and $4,640, and $4,720 and $4,405, indicating a potential breakout as the triangle narrows [2][5]. Support and Resistance Levels - The low point of $4,580 has been tested three times, establishing a strong support level. If this level holds, it is unlikely for gold to experience a significant decline [2][5]. - Key technical levels to watch include $4,570 as a critical support point; a break below this could lead to a drop to $4,520 or lower, while maintaining above it indicates strength [5][6]. - The upper resistance is currently at $4,640, and if the trend remains unchanged, there is no need to predict a peak [6].