业绩行情逐步发酵！预告披露率已突破5%，“预喜”股扎堆板块盘点，这些标的高增领跑

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing an increase in performance announcements as the deadline for annual report forecasts approaches, with over 280 companies having disclosed their 2025 annual report forecasts by January 16, representing nearly 5.2% of the total market [1]. Group 1: Performance Forecasts - Nearly half of the disclosed companies have positive performance forecasts for 2025, with around 140 companies (47.6%) expecting an increase, slight increase, turnaround, or continued profit [3]. - The breakdown of positive forecasts includes 26.9% expecting an increase, 14.7% a slight increase, 5.6% a turnaround, and 0.3% continued profit [3]. - Conversely, about half of the companies are expected to incur losses in 2025, with 19.6% continuing losses, 10.5% first-time losses, 8.7% reduced losses, 4.9% increased losses, and 4.5% reduced forecasts [3]. Group 2: Industry Distribution - The sectors with the highest number of companies expecting positive performance include basic chemicals, electronics, automotive, pharmaceutical biology, and machinery, accounting for nearly 56.6% of the positive forecast companies [3]. - In terms of loss forecasts, the sectors with the highest concentration of expected losses are electronics, electrical equipment, construction decoration, machinery, and pharmaceutical biology [4]. Group 3: Individual Company Performance - Among the disclosed forecasts, 11 companies are expected to have a net profit (lower limit) exceeding 5 billion yuan, with Zijin Mining leading at 51 billion yuan [8]. - Other notable companies with significant profit forecasts include Luoyang Molybdenum, Luxshare Precision, WuXi AppTec, Muyuan Foods, and Baofeng Energy, all exceeding 10 billion yuan [8]. - A total of 48 companies are expected to see their profit growth double, with Kewen Biological, Zhongtai Shares, SAIC Motor, and Bawei Storage among the top performers [8]. Group 4: Turnaround Companies - There are 16 companies expected to turn around from losses, with Kewen Biological leading with a projected profit growth of over 10 times [10]. - Other companies with significant turnaround forecasts include Zhongtai Shares, Huazheng New Materials, and Haowu Shares, all showing growth rates above 2 times [10]. - The sectors with the most turnaround companies include machinery, basic chemicals, agriculture, automotive, and others [10].