Trane Technologies (TT) Fell Due to Weakness in Its HVAC Business

Core Insights - Fenimore Asset Management's Q4 2025 investor letter indicates a solid yet volatile stock market, influenced by AI enthusiasm, economic uncertainty, and monetary policy concerns [1] - The firm anticipates mixed market conditions in 2026, with many AI-related stocks appearing expensive while high-quality companies are trading at multi-year lows, presenting potential investment opportunities [1] Performance Summary - The S&P 500 Index rose by 2.66% in Q4 2025, with large-cap technology and communication services sectors leading the market [1] - Fenimore Small Cap Strategy returned -4.12%, underperforming the Russell 2000 Index, which returned 2.19% [1] - Fenimore Dividend Focus Strategy declined by -4.41% compared to the Russell Midcap Index's 0.16% return [1] - Fenimore Value Strategy saw a decline of -1.17% in Q4, also underperforming against the Russell Midcap Index [1] Company Focus: Trane Technologies plc - Trane Technologies plc (NYSE:TT) was highlighted as a key performance detractor in the Fenimore Dividend Focus Strategy [2] - As of January 15, 2026, Trane Technologies plc's stock closed at $387.27, with a one-month return of -0.66% and a 52-week loss of 0.49% [2] - The company has a market capitalization of $86.174 billion [2] - Despite challenges in the residential HVAC business due to industry changes, Trane Technologies plc's earnings and backlog remain strong, with AI data center cooling contributing positively [3]