Group 1 - Kevin Warsh has emerged as the leading candidate for the central bank chair position following President Trump's remarks, with traders on Kalshi assigning a 59% chance of his appointment [1][2] - National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett's chances have decreased to 14% after Trump expressed a preference to retain him in his current role [2][3] - Current Fed Governor Christopher Waller has gained traction, now holding an 18% chance of becoming the next chair, surpassing Hassett [2][3] Group 2 - As of Wednesday, Warsh and Hassett were nearly tied, indicating a significant shift in market sentiment following Trump's comments [3] - Other candidates, including BlackRock's Rick Rieder and Fed Governor Michelle Bowman, are considered longshots with minimal odds [3] - Trump has indicated that he will announce a successor to Jerome Powell this month, although no specific date has been provided [3]
Warsh sprints ahead in Fed chair race following Trump comments on Hassett, prediction markets show
CNBC·2026-01-16 15:45