2025’s gold rush strengthens the case for bitcoin: Ark Invest

Performance Comparison - Gold prices appreciated 65% during 2025 while bitcoin declined 6% [1] - Bitcoin has increased 360% since the end of the US equity bear market in October 2022, while gold prices rose 166% during the same period [1] Supply Dynamics - Global gold supply increases at an annualized rate of approximately 1.8%, incentivizing miners to boost production [2] - Bitcoin operates under a mathematically fixed supply schedule, with its supply currently increasing at an annualized rate of roughly 0.82% for the next two years, decelerating to 0.41% upon the next block subsidy halving event [3] Valuation Metrics - The ratio of gold market capitalization to M2 money supply recently surpassed peaks observed during the inflation of the 1980s, with only comparable levels occurring during the Great Depression in the early 1930s [4] Correlation Analysis - The correlation between bitcoin and gold returns is 0.14 from 2020 through early 2026, which is lower than the 0.27 correlation observed between the S&P 500 and bonds [5]