风电“双海”战略发力 行业经营稳步转暖

Core Viewpoint - The wind power industry is experiencing a recovery, with signs of improved demand both domestically and internationally, and potential for profit improvement by 2026 [2][3] Group 1: Industry Recovery - The wind power sector is witnessing a rebound, with the cumulative installed capacity of wind and solar power surpassing that of thermal power for the first time by March 2025 [3] - The profitability of the wind turbine segment has shown significant improvement, with a downward trend in bidding prices for wind turbine units from 2022 to 2024 due to intense market competition [3][4] - The average bidding price for wind turbine units in the market is projected to be 1610 RMB/kW by September 2025, indicating a recovery in prices after a bottoming out in August 2024 [5][6] Group 2: Anti-Competition Measures - The wind power industry has recognized the dangers of "involution" competition, leading to initiatives aimed at stabilizing prices and ensuring fair competition [5][6] - A self-regulatory agreement was signed by 12 wind turbine manufacturers at the Beijing International Wind Energy Conference in 2024 to address issues such as malicious defamation and unfair contract terms [5] Group 3: Growth in "Dual Sea" Market - The "dual sea" market, encompassing offshore wind and overseas wind power, is expected to drive continued recovery in the industry [7][8] - The Global Wind Energy Council forecasts that over 350 GW of new offshore wind capacity will be added globally from 2025 to 2034, with China accounting for 51% of this growth [8] - Companies like SANY Heavy Energy and Mingyang Smart Energy are actively expanding in the "dual sea" market, with SANY expecting significant increases in overseas revenue starting in 2025 [9][10] Group 4: Overall Industry Chain Benefits - The entire wind power industry chain is anticipated to benefit from the growth in the "dual sea" market, with increased orders for offshore piles and submarine cables expected in 2026 [11] - European offshore wind projects are projected to release supply chain orders in 2026 and 2027, coinciding with a rise in project conversion rates [11] - Companies are focusing on high-potential markets and products needed for offshore wind and overseas markets, taking advantage of the competitive landscape [11]