中航基金韩浩：全球资本将重新定价中国科技龙头

Core Viewpoint - In 2026, China's technology leaders are expected to regain global asset pricing, leading to a dual opportunity for valuation recovery and performance realization [1][5]. Investment Opportunities - The AI computing power sector is projected to have high investment certainty in 2026, with significant infrastructure investments anticipated [3][6]. - The liquid cooling sector is identified as a potential growth point for 2026, with advancements in technology making it more cost-effective [6]. - The humanoid robot and smart driving sectors are highlighted as having explosive growth potential, with the humanoid robot market expected to transition significantly in 2026 [7]. Economic Context - The Chinese economy is transitioning from traditional investment and real estate-driven growth to a new model characterized by high-end equipment manufacturing and new productive forces [2]. - The central economic work conference emphasizes the importance of domestic demand and innovation-driven growth as key tasks for 2026 [1]. Market Dynamics - The risk appetite for the technology growth sector is expected to increase as domestic asset valuations are seen to have a recovery foundation, with core companies not showing signs of significant bubble formation [4][10]. - Global monetary policy divergence, particularly the anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, is a significant variable affecting capital markets [4]. Structural Changes - Traditional infrastructure investments are yielding diminishing marginal returns, while AI computing infrastructure is becoming a new investment focus [3]. - The growth in consumer spending is expected to come from new consumption patterns, particularly in smart vehicles and AI-related products [3]. Competitive Landscape - The AI computing power sector is characterized by strong demand, with leading companies expected to exceed performance expectations [6]. - Domestic companies in the PCB sector hold an 80% market share and are entering a performance realization phase in 2026 [6]. Investment Strategy - The overall market outlook for 2026 is optimistic, with expectations of improved profitability across the A-share market, particularly in the second quarter [9]. - The focus should be on selecting companies with core competitiveness that can deliver performance, as broad market rallies are less likely [10].