高盛预测铜价将下跌11000美元/吨，因市场基本面放宽

Core Viewpoint - Recent surges in copper prices may face significant declines in the future, with Goldman Sachs analysts predicting LME copper prices could drop to $11,000 per ton by December 2026 due to easing market fundamentals [1]. Group 1: Price Movements - Copper prices have recently retreated from historical highs, with a 0.6% decline noted on January 15, following a record rebound in physical demand [2]. - On January 14, LME copper prices reached an all-time high of $13,407 per ton, while domestic futures also surged past the 100,000 yuan per ton mark [2]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The rapid increase in copper prices is attributed to a structural imbalance in supply and demand, alongside market sentiment and speculative trading [2]. - South American countries control 40% of global copper reserves, but energy constraints have limited the release of copper mining capacity [2]. - Emerging sectors such as AI data centers, electric vehicles, and industrial robots are significantly increasing copper demand, supporting high copper price levels [2].