“十五五” 时期既要扩大出口也要适度扩大进口，海关总署最新发声

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the need to balance imports and exports during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, aiming to expand exports while moderately increasing imports to enhance international circulation and promote better integration of domestic and foreign trade [1] - According to customs statistics, by 2025, China's total foreign trade import and export volume is projected to reach 45.47 trillion yuan, representing a growth of 3.8%. Exports are expected to be 26.99 trillion yuan, growing by 6.1%, while imports are forecasted at 18.48 trillion yuan, with a growth of 0.5%. The trade surplus is anticipated to reach 8.51 trillion yuan [1] - The external environment for China's foreign trade remains severe and complex, with global trade growth lacking momentum. The UNCTAD report predicts that global trade growth will weaken further by 2026, and the WTO has significantly lowered its global goods trade growth forecast to 0.5% for the same year [1] Group 2 - The customs authority plans to replicate and promote 25 mature foreign trade policy measures nationwide to fully release policy dividends and promote high-quality foreign trade development [2] - The measures cover five areas, including enhancing cross-border logistics efficiency, supporting new business models, optimizing regulatory modes for special goods, improving smart regulatory service levels, and enhancing practical benefits for enterprises and the public [2] Group 3 - The Ministry of Commerce aims to strengthen support for local governments and enterprises to stabilize traditional markets and expand into emerging markets, alongside increasing support for enterprises participating in overseas exhibitions [3] - The forecast for export growth this year is estimated to be between 3% and 4%, with several favorable external factors, including the recovery of the global trade environment and improved China-U.S. economic relations [3] - On the import side, it is expected that domestic demand policies will strengthen by 2026, potentially boosting demand for consumer goods and bulk commodities [3]