Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao·2026-01-17 06:08Core Insights - The price surge in various chemical and industrial products starting from July 2025 is driven by multiple factors, including overseas demand and domestic supply constraints, leading to a high level of market activity and potential recovery opportunities for industry players [1][2]. Price Drivers - The primary driver of the price increase is the concentrated release of import demand from A5 countries, which has boosted exports of related products from China and further stimulated the domestic market [2]. - The current price increase is characterized as a structural rise due to a tight supply-demand balance, influenced by limited inventory and production quotas nearing depletion [2][3]. Company Performance - Leading companies in the refrigerant sector have reported significant profit growth for 2025, with Sanmei Co. expecting a net profit of 1.99 to 2.15 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 155.66% to 176.11% [4]. - Yonghe Co. anticipates a net profit of 530 to 630 million yuan for 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 110.87% to 150.66% [4]. - The performance growth of these companies is attributed to favorable supply-demand dynamics and price adjustments in the refrigerant market [4]. Market Outlook - The refrigerant price trend is expected to remain strong in the short term due to high costs and tight supply, with a favorable outlook for continued price increases as demand recovers [5][6]. - Analysts suggest that the overall inventory is at a low level, and production constraints will support price strength, especially as demand increases during peak seasons [6]. - The refrigerant industry is currently under quota management, which is tightening the supply-demand balance and driving prices into a prolonged high-demand phase [6].