（经济观察）破万亿美元后再蓄新动能 中国—东盟经贸迎新局

Core Viewpoint - China's trade with ASEAN is projected to exceed $1 trillion by 2025, indicating strong internal momentum for economic cooperation despite complex external environments [1][4]. Group 1: Trade Dynamics - Experts believe that many products exported from China to ASEAN are irreplaceable, leading to a continuous increase in bilateral trade, with efforts to improve trade imbalances [3][4]. - The upgrading of the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area to version 3.0 will enhance cooperation in supply chain connectivity and standard alignment, particularly benefiting small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) which make up 90% of the trade [3][5]. Group 2: Economic Growth Drivers - The shift of the global economic center towards Southeast Asia is expected to drive a new round of growth in bilateral trade, supported by strong import demand from the region's expanding economy and infrastructure [4]. - Artificial Intelligence (AI) is identified as a key engine for deepening cooperation, facilitating digital infrastructure connectivity and enhancing cross-border logistics and payment systems [4][5]. Group 3: Future Trade Opportunities - Future trade between China and ASEAN is anticipated to include new sectors such as AI applications, embodied robots, and innovative pharmaceuticals, which are expected to generate significant trade increments [5]. - The implementation of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) is expected to yield substantial benefits for regional cooperation, with the China-ASEAN Free Trade Area 3.0 version creating synergistic effects with RCEP [5].