Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to continue a fluctuating upward trend towards 2026, driven by the inflow of medium to long-term funds and sustained high trading activity [1][6]. Group 1: Market Performance and Trends - In 2025, the A-share market showed an overall upward trend, with a year-end increase of 41.93%. The market experienced a pullback due to escalating US-China tariff disputes but rebounded with a series of policy measures and improved economic fundamentals [2]. - Key sectors that performed well in 2025 included non-ferrous metals, driven by geopolitical risks and supply chain disruptions, and TMT sectors like communication and electronics, benefiting from ongoing technological innovation [3]. Group 2: Liquidity and Policy Support - The liquidity environment in the A-share market is expected to improve, with policies encouraging medium to long-term funds to enter the market. The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is focused on utilizing structural monetary policy tools to facilitate this [4]. - Increased policy support is anticipated, with measures to deepen public fund reforms and enhance the capital market's attractiveness and inclusivity. This is expected to lead to more mergers and acquisitions, particularly in technology and industry-leading companies [5]. Group 3: Economic and Structural Opportunities - The domestic economy is projected to maintain a stable upward trajectory, with policies aimed at expanding domestic demand and boosting confidence. The year 2026 marks the beginning of the "14th Five-Year Plan," with expectations for proactive fiscal and moderately loose monetary policies [6]. - The focus on technological innovation and advanced manufacturing is expected to create structural opportunities, particularly in sectors like artificial intelligence, high-end manufacturing, and green transformation [8][9]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Investment should focus on technology innovation, particularly in areas such as high-end chips, industrial software, and agricultural technology, as these are expected to lead industry transformations [8]. - Advanced manufacturing should be targeted, emphasizing smart manufacturing and green transitions, which are crucial for enhancing supply chain resilience [8]. - The expansion of domestic demand and consumption upgrades should be prioritized, with attention to service consumption and digital life innovations, which are likely to unlock significant growth potential [9].
万联证券：A股市场情绪稳步提高 科技创新景气度有望维持高位
智通财经网·2026-01-17 10:46